Rapport sur la politique monétaire – Octobre 2024 https://www.banqueducanada.ca/?p=241427 Biens hors aliments et énergie (27,6) Biens durables (12,1) Biens non durables (8,3) Biens semi-durables (7,3) Aliments achetés en magasin (10,7) Autres (2,9) Fruits et légumes (2,5) Viande et fruits de mer (2,3) Produits de boulangerie et produits céréaliers (1,5) Produits laitiers et œufs (1,5) Énergie (7,0) Essence (4,1) Électricité (1,7) Mazout et autres combustibles (0,7) Gaz naturel (0,6) Services hors logement (28,0) Services touchés par la réglementation (8,2) Autres services (8,0) Services de restauration (6,7) Loisirs et voyages (5,1) Services liés au logement (26,7) Coûts liés au prix des maisons (7,2) Loyer (7,2) Autres services liés au logement (6,7) Coût de l’intérêt hypothécaire (5,6) Taux de croissance trimestriel annualisé du PIB (échelle de gauche) Consommation (échelle de droite) Logement (échelle de droite) Investissements fixes des entreprises (échelle de droite) Exportations (échelle de droite) Dépenses publiques (échelle de droite) Stocks, importations et résidu (échelle de droite) Taux de croissance trimestriel annualisé de la consommation totale par habitant (échelle de gauche) Achat de véhicules automobiles (échelle de droite) Dépenses des Canadiens à l’étranger (échelle de droite) Biens sensibles aux taux d’intérêt (échelle de droite) Services sensibles aux taux d’intérêt (échelle de droite) Autres biens et services (échelle de droite) Confiance (échelle de gauche) Investissement des entreprises, croissance sur un an (échelle de droite) Indicateurs des ventes intérieures futures Moyenne historique (2016T2-2024T3) – indicateurs de ventes intérieures Indicateurs des exportations futures Moyenne historique (2016T2-2024T3) – indicateurs des exportations futures Pénuries de main-d’œuvre Moyenne historique (2001T1-2024T3) – pénuries de main-d’œuvre Impossibilité de trouver la main-d’œuvre désirée au salaire actuel Moyenne historique (2010T1-2024T3) – impossibilité de trouver de la main-d’œuvre Emploi Population active Enquête sur les perspectives des entreprises, horizon de 2 ans Le Pouls des leaders d’entreprise, horizon de 1 an Le Pouls des leaders d’entreprise, horizon de 2 ans Le Pouls des leaders d’entreprise, horizon de 5 ans Consensus Economics, horizon de 1 an Consensus Economics, horizon de 2 ans Enquête sur les attentes des consommateurs au Canada, horizon de 1 an Enquête sur les attentes des consommateurs au Canada, horizon de 2 ans Enquête sur les attentes des consommateurs au Canada, horizon de 5 ans Taux de croissance trimestriel annualisé du PIB (échelle de gauche) PIB par habitant (échelle de droite) Population de 15 ans et plus (échelle de droite) IPC global (taux de variation sur un an, échelle de gauche) Biens hors énergie et aliments achetés en magasin (échelle de droite) Énergie (échelle de droite) Aliments achetés en magasin (échelle de droite) Services excluant ceux liés au logement (échelle de droite) Services liés au logement (échelle de droite) Cible Inflation mesurée par l’IPC Inflation fondamentale Taux de chômage (échelle de gauche) Taux de mises à pied (échelle de droite) Taux d’obtention d’un emploi (échelle de droite) Transition de l’extérieur de la population active vers le chômage (échelle de droite) Autres (échelle de droite) Proportion de nouveaux arrivants dans la population active (moyenne mobile sur trois mois) Inflation : composantes dont les prix varient plus souvent Inflation : composantes dont les prix varient moins souvent Inflation : prix des services liés au logement Canada États-Unis Zone euro Canada États-Unis Zone euro PIB (échelle de gauche) Consommation (échelle de droite) Investissements des entreprises (échelle de droite) Dépenses publiques (échelle de droite) Autres (échelle de droite) Inflation globale Biens Services Inflation globale (échelle de gauche) Inflation fondamentale (échelle de droite) Énergie (échelle de droite) Aliments (échelle de droite) Western Canadian Select West Texas Intermediate Brent 2 ans 5 ans 10 ans 30 ans IPC global IPC-méd IPC-tronq Dernier taux Creux récent Mesure à pondération variable, EPA Microdonnées, EPA Mesure à pondération variable, EERH Mesure à pondération fixe, EERH Enquête sur les perspectives des entreprises : Augmentation moyenne attendue des salaires, variation dans les 12 prochains mois (taux de variation sur un an) Le Pouls des leaders d’entreprise : Augmentation moyenne attendue des salaires, variation dans les 12 prochains mois (taux de variation sur un an) Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - États-Unis Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - États-Unis Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - États-Unis Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - États-Unis Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Zone euro Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Zone euro Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Zone euro Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Zone euro Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Japon Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Japon Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Japon Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Japon Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Chine Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Chine Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Chine Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Chine Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Pays émergents importateurs de pétrole Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Pays émergents importateurs de pétrole Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Pays émergents importateurs de pétrole Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Pays émergents importateurs de pétrole Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Autres pays Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Autres pays Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Autres pays Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Autres pays Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Monde Part du PIB mondial réel (en pourcentage) - Monde Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Monde Croissance projetée (en pourcentage) - Monde Consommation Consommation Logement Logement Administrations publiques Administrations publiques Investissements fixes des entreprises Investissements fixes des entreprises Total partiel : demande intérieure finale Total partiel : demande intérieure finale Exportations Exportations Importations Importations Stocks Stocks PIB PIB Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Fourchette de la production potentielle Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Fourchette de la production potentielle Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Fourchette de la production potentielle Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Fourchette de la production potentielle Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Revenu intérieur brut réel Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Revenu intérieur brut réel Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Inflation mesurée par l’IPC Pour mémoire (taux de variation) : Inflation mesurée par l’IPC Inflation mesurée par l’IPC (taux de variation sur un an) Inflation mesurée par l’IPC (taux de variation sur un an) Inflation fondamentale (taux de variation sur un an) Inflation fondamentale (taux de variation sur un an) PIB réel (taux de variation sur un an) PIB réel (taux de variation sur un an) PIB réel (taux de variation sur un trimestre, chiffres annualisés) PIB réel (taux de variation sur un trimestre, chiffres annualisés) 2.41.90.1 1.8-1.02.3 2.31.8-1.0 1.71.22.3 2.21.83.2 1.63.32.1 2.41.52.9 1.41.92.4 2.41.21.9 0.93.52.6 2.71.03.5 1.12.72.7 2.71.32.1 1.32.62.6 2.71.33.0 1.43.22.6 2.81.31.2 1.41.52.8 2.61.32.3 1.33.62.6 2.51.25.4 1.33.82.3 2.31.32.5 1.32.72.2 2.51.14.3 1.12.82.7 2.84.501.22.6 4.491.13.23.0 3.14.451.43.9 4.491.43.03.1 3.34.520.83.0 4.531.02.13.6 3.94.551.1-1.3 4.621.4-1.04.1 4.04.651.40.1 4.671.30.64.3 4.04.671.3-0.6 4.701.31.64.0 4.04.641.52.2 4.571.61.64.1 3.94.481.51.7 4.431.71.64.0 4.24.462.41.0 4.482.30.14.1 4.14.492.31.8 4.442.31.74.2 4.44.412.11.7 4.422.01.74.3 4.30.006.120.000.000.004.481.61.5 6.10-0.120.12-0.084.561.90.54.50.06 4.40.076.20-0.070.12-0.044.591.7-0.4 6.19-0.070.10-0.024.691.70.54.40.06 4.30.096.15-0.040.20-0.224.742.01.4 6.120.030.14-0.184.782.03.44.20.01 4.00.006.16-0.020.24-0.174.782.04.2 6.17-0.010.21-0.164.762.14.53.70.01 3.50.066.310.100.000.034.822.34.2 6.380.180.04-0.064.872.02.53.40.10 3.30.106.710.330.26-0.114.912.11.1 7.020.490.31-0.124.842.3-0.63.10.23 3.20.277.540.670.49-0.014.822.8-1.3 8.100.890.490.134.782.6-0.32.80.47 2.40.548.310.900.650.104.762.8-0.6 8.420.890.820.114.722.8-2.41.90.48 1.60.558.630.960.860.154.712.9-2.8 8.790.960.890.184.672.9-3.41.40.65 1.10.678.790.860.960.184.692.8-4.8 8.760.771.080.114.682.6-4.10.90.68 0.60.598.510.691.060.054.682.7-4.4 8.550.581.130.104.683.0-2.30.40.62 0.00.778.580.541.19-0.034.773.10.0 8.600.631.210.014.872.80.8-0.10.63 -0.30.518.370.541.26-0.064.892.92.2 8.380.441.220.174.852.81.6-0.20.43 0.10.428.300.441.090.234.812.41.4 8.200.361.170.144.812.32.40.40.41 0.70.408.130.421.23-0.044.802.11.3 8.020.361.010.134.782.10.10.90.41 1.40.448.190.391.240.004.832.91.4 8.210.421.070.104.912.81.11.30.49 1.40.548.190.231.090.214.972.22.0 8.070.231.100.025.042.42.91.60.59 1.80.597.850.310.86-0.034.962.21.9 7.840.290.97-0.044.902.42.61.90.49 1.80.617.840.180.94-0.014.872.42.5 7.850.180.920.054.842.32.31.80.58 1.80.527.830.171.10-0.074.852.74.4 7.790.121.070.004.842.64.81.60.48 1.70.287.730.100.920.314.912.85.4 7.67-0.071.050.224.962.84.31.60.35 1.30.407.41-0.071.08-0.115.001.94.3 7.360.180.93-0.215.002.24.51.50.35 1.50.347.440.240.98-0.244.942.54.8 7.500.230.96-0.074.902.14.71.00.27 1.20.227.610.220.950.094.832.24.3 7.500.180.950.034.882.22.91.30.23 1.40.387.680.201.04-0.064.942.23.3 7.570.250.85-0.025.092.43.51.40.38 1.30.407.330.160.70-0.055.182.02.3 7.400.160.590.075.242.22.01.70.47 1.50.317.540.110.740.255.281.90.8 7.390.060.860.275.301.81.11.50.09 1.40.157.290.090.770.175.281.80.6 7.360.130.770.145.141.51.21.30.19 1.30.207.360.100.900.055.071.40.9 7.410.140.890.014.981.40.81.30.26 1.20.367.350.120.88-0.144.981.30.2 7.190.060.77-0.034.941.40.31.10.27 0.90.097.080.110.720.045.001.3-0.4 7.030.050.800.005.061.31.31.00.06 1.00.037.270.081.08-0.035.121.50.6 7.190.120.930.025.141.0-0.30.70.01 0.70.037.010.070.85-0.055.140.80.6 7.160.190.85-0.025.200.71.70.80.03 0.70.057.280.300.650.165.241.12.0 7.220.210.720.065.321.01.20.80.11 1.00.087.080.120.77-0.015.311.11.0 7.190.140.94-0.055.441.10.21.10.05 1.30.067.110.080.98-0.135.470.90.8 7.390.091.13-0.175.511.01.51.40.22 1.60.097.210.051.12-0.175.431.11.8 7.21-0.011.22-0.235.320.91.11.60.11 1.60.027.090.001.12-0.185.281.11.9 7.110.021.03-0.135.281.52.61.90.08 1.90.137.25-0.021.07-0.045.331.72.9 7.140.010.750.165.261.92.91.80.12 2.1-0.037.08-0.020.940.075.261.72.4 7.00-0.091.07-0.025.262.22.12.0-0.07 1.90.107.00-0.050.87-0.035.362.32.0 6.80-0.020.81-0.115.412.32.71.8-0.01 1.7-0.086.80-0.040.90-0.105.412.41.7 6.67-0.030.77-0.175.392.20.71.8-0.02 1.6-0.016.77-0.010.93-0.275.322.3-0.3 6.890.150.86-0.155.302.4-0.31.7-0.10 1.7-0.136.850.100.92-0.175.292.30.1 6.930.090.890.035.292.2-0.71.5-0.19 1.6-0.176.830.060.97-0.155.272.1-0.3 6.85-0.010.710.185.242.10.11.6-0.16 1.4-0.126.93-0.170.840.265.222.20.6 7.03-0.110.950.195.262.00.51.5-0.13 1.5-0.087.05-0.010.960.065.252.00.0 6.95-0.030.910.035.211.9-0.11.8-0.08 1.7-0.087.090.050.970.045.131.80.8 7.220.141.07-0.025.101.91.31.7-0.10 1.7-0.037.250.181.19-0.205.131.62.4 7.270.221.03-0.215.171.70.91.60.11 1.60.137.210.111.08-0.235.211.70.8 4.1719.822.4130.167.26-0.091.24-0.065.171.81.61.60.06 1.6-0.267.01-0.021.090.095.162.11.0 6.90-0.051.17-0.125.182.00.91.8-0.22 1.9-0.1413.5419.835.7130.166.95-0.151.21-0.095.201.90.3 6.87-0.140.950.015.241.70.22.0-0.06 1.9-0.116.99-0.131.010.115.281.60.8 22.4519.837.7430.166.92-0.161.16-0.015.351.81.01.9-0.19 2.2-0.466.82-0.051.120.095.431.70.3 6.92-0.021.120.025.451.71.02.1-0.31 2.1-0.142.6145.0019.841.6730.166.78-0.180.900.095.441.92.4 6.61-0.330.960.125.431.62.42.0-0.27 2.1-0.246.67-0.330.890.235.471.51.4 53.5419.850.7730.166.48-0.391.020.195.521.61.52.0-0.453.03 2.2-0.366.64-0.430.780.535.611.20.8 6.49-0.460.880.315.701.30.32.1-0.35 2.0-0.373.0143.7519.852.3830.166.30-0.450.900.095.731.30.8 6.19-0.350.630.175.681.21.22.1-0.37 2.1-0.386.25-0.380.810.085.681.21.5 22.6819.853.8530.166.36-0.320.730.015.641.31.12.1-0.173.42 1.9-0.286.14-0.240.59-0.055.651.52.8 6.03-0.320.54-0.025.651.02.52.0-0.29 1.71.81.82.1-0.293.083.182.812.993.3732.3219.855.0030.161.982.012.713.134.095.87-0.410.460.005.711.61.6 2.082.025.97-0.480.610.075.791.92.32.21.92.02.3-0.352.903.362.722.61 2.31.91.92.2-0.402.843.352.372.042.082.071.995.81-0.550.71-0.075.882.12.5 39.1819.848.2130.162.151.992.893.324.265.82-0.630.520.135.892.12.22.22.01.92.3-0.333.013.692.262.123.75 2.21.81.92.2-0.403.343.842.152.532.212.025.86-0.750.660.225.911.82.7 2.272.182.005.98-0.700.620.335.961.73.12.51.91.92.2-0.393.193.822.691.86 3.01.92.12.3-0.472.893.932.471.713.1535.0519.846.8130.162.151.992.933.013.945.86-0.580.550.245.992.14.0 2.141.995.97-0.480.750.126.102.23.62.81.92.02.3-0.542.233.293.101.87 2.21.92.02.4-0.522.473.301.981.202.122.181.995.83-0.500.660.076.252.32.1 22.9219.826.9230.162.181.992.542.983.935.71-0.450.50-0.106.352.22.82.41.92.02.3-0.352.653.462.992.353.92 1.71.81.92.3-0.172.543.612.601.672.121.975.71-0.490.50-0.256.392.20.8 2.271.981.955.66-0.460.46-0.206.372.61.42.01.81.92.3-0.272.493.412.913.24 1.41.81.92.6-0.292.083.172.122.583.0314.8919.821.0530.16191629201.862.032.642.993.975.71-0.520.53-0.136.322.10.31.441.431.391.901.841.121.43-0.812.481.62-0.270.061.43 1.832.025.76-0.510.62-0.216.231.80.71.511.401.491.971.740.991.40-0.672.371.54-0.240.101.401.52.01.92.7-0.262.192.931.411.80 1.92.02.12.8-0.322.152.902.101.391.881.781.985.86-0.600.70-0.046.201.71.71.881.521.401.881.620.771.52-0.112.281.42-0.020.101.52 17.0219.824.0030.16262929201.841.982.572.973.825.74-0.590.210.176.211.62.12.031.571.722.041.641.291.57-0.212.391.440.060.061.572.01.92.02.7-0.172.322.772.301.643.23 2.42.12.22.5-0.422.302.524.191.781.891.975.45-0.600.250.096.262.22.52.401.471.222.431.560.781.47-0.302.291.38-0.010.091.47 1.891.921.975.58-0.540.410.006.312.31.72.021.431.272.351.661.121.43-0.432.291.46-0.130.081.432.02.02.02.5-0.423.092.642.862.73 2.02.02.02.5-0.333.192.323.503.773.009.3819.830.0030.16343329201.961.982.422.873.915.75-0.450.42-0.016.342.21.72.011.451.022.181.640.871.45-0.372.311.45-0.060.071.45 1.961.965.77-0.500.310.076.392.21.41.941.431.012.181.750.951.43-0.432.301.54-0.180.061.431.92.02.02.5-0.233.112.552.533.70 1.92.02.12.4-0.183.182.932.553.021.861.991.975.64-0.350.17-0.126.451.71.81.871.280.832.111.631.011.28-0.702.211.44-0.220.061.28 25.2719.836.5430.16313429201.971.932.232.913.575.63-0.360.47-0.406.541.51.81.861.290.732.021.621.071.29-0.702.221.43-0.220.081.291.92.12.12.8-0.202.952.503.273.393.22 2.22.12.22.6-0.123.062.572.943.121.931.935.91-0.130.47-0.426.611.42.72.171.360.962.021.501.311.36-0.242.111.32-0.030.071.36 1.891.911.925.62-0.260.40-0.436.651.42.82.251.561.331.791.541.301.560.412.111.360.160.051.562.22.12.12.6-0.202.802.392.921.97 2.42.02.02.3-0.142.762.282.182.952.7911.1119.833.3330.16282729201.931.942.492.943.925.50-0.440.49-0.546.701.33.52.401.731.361.871.571.091.730.532.291.390.280.071.73 1.931.975.74-0.440.61-0.406.841.42.92.161.661.221.931.671.211.660.262.321.480.130.071.662.21.81.92.3-0.153.232.433.083.54 0.91.81.82.4-0.246.312.584.174.251.931.772.018.352.340.78-0.656.941.4-0.40.891.150.751.691.491.031.15-0.942.141.32-0.260.091.15 -54.4419.8-52.7330.16131129201.261.982.753.013.2513.646.610.93-0.176.801.2-2.6-0.220.440.311.310.960.850.44-2.101.660.85-0.750.300.44-0.21.91.82.30.1410.443.126.284.131.45 -0.41.71.62.01.8010.103.295.504.311.031.8914.105.430.380.376.600.9-2.7-0.370.460.090.610.970.900.46-2.251.780.85-0.770.340.46 1.451.121.8812.433.95-0.310.296.331.1-0.50.660.720.270.990.940.830.72-1.511.800.83-0.510.380.720.71.91.82.12.377.243.125.393.35 0.11.81.61.81.996.493.255.254.072.15-24.2119.8-25.0030.16252729201.141.872.222.953.5510.992.51-0.080.456.130.9-1.30.150.910.390.461.181.180.91-1.061.861.04-0.460.310.91 1.321.9210.161.790.220.745.851.0-1.30.151.17-0.170.461.390.371.17-0.431.941.22-0.380.311.170.11.81.61.91.296.293.185.223.50 0.51.91.72.01.054.982.634.723.551.901.381.939.181.460.560.005.691.3-0.80.511.27-0.310.841.470.211.27-0.422.091.30-0.330.281.27 0.0019.8-5.6630.16332529201.441.972.863.003.129.031.520.58-0.135.611.4-0.50.661.14-0.280.841.390.231.14-0.642.021.23-0.390.281.140.72.01.81.90.945.643.103.853.043.31 1.02.01.92.10.735.172.614.643.281.451.998.661.330.76-0.285.741.40.00.951.15-0.291.301.430.251.15-0.531.981.26-0.400.271.15 1.811.582.038.931.300.93-0.255.961.4-0.30.731.33-0.271.071.520.231.33-0.122.031.34-0.310.291.330.72.01.81.80.835.382.734.302.90 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