Sources d’inflation durant la pandémie au Canada : une application du modèle de Bernanke et Blanchard https://www.banqueducanada.ca/?p=239096 EERH, mesure à pondération fixe EPA, mesure à pondération fixe Règlements salariaux Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs (échelle de gauche) Taux de chômage (échelle de droite) Inflation mesurée par l’IPC Spécification – EERH Spécification – EPA Spécification – règlements salariaux x ECI (États-Unis) Spécification – EERH (Canada) Spécification – EPA (Canada) Spécification – règlements salariaux (Canada) x ECI (États-Unis) Spécification – EERH (Canada) Spécification – EPA (Canada) Spécification – règlements salariaux (Canada) x ECI (États-Unis) Spécification – EERH (Canada) Spécification – EPA (Canada) Spécification – règlements salariaux (Canada) x ECI (États-Unis) Spécification – EERH (Canada) Spécification – EPA (Canada) Spécification – règlements salariaux (Canada) État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles État initial Ratio des postes vacants aux chômeurs Prix de l’énergie Prix des aliments Pénuries Croissance de la productivité Résidus Données réelles v/u = 0,6 v/u = v/u* = 0,45 v/u = 0,3 2.531.600.2911.13 2.220.400.3211.63 2.030.700.2911.43 1.380.700.2811.30 1.030.500.3211.03 1.210.100.3510.63 1.060.400.3510.13 2.060.500.319.77 2.620.900.389.63 1.961.000.359.50 2.340.900.359.43 2.220.700.359.30 1.650.500.379.50 2.980.700.349.43 2.821.100.359.67 2.051.500.269.83 1.751.300.249.43 0.551.400.319.30 -0.031.300.318.87 0.081.600.318.77 1.401.202.100.328.60 1.261.701.600.348.330.000.970.670.92 1.761.621.400.338.200.440.22-0.080.07 2.251.691.800.348.031.751.421.541.78 1.521.761.500.307.901.161.701.541.62 1.291.902.400.377.903.042.202.232.14 1.042.702.400.367.502.582.702.943.19 0.792.793.100.376.972.572.332.592.48 1.162.892.400.376.872.552.502.712.84 2.423.212.600.416.671.831.971.621.63 2.603.292.300.406.903.643.613.353.42 1.913.072.900.396.904.304.233.974.03 1.203.803.600.387.000.961.311.652.00 0.564.103.100.327.105.193.944.244.17 1.203.483.500.297.170.140.830.801.25 1.823.813.000.297.63-2.04-1.54-1.68-1.41 1.953.582.900.257.932.852.642.572.47 2.763.052.600.277.704.312.042.342.44 1.892.862.900.307.534.403.082.753.32 2.212.613.400.287.573.433.663.523.64 2.452.342.800.247.475.095.996.135.91 2.472.042.200.277.67-2.08-1.75-1.19-1.52 3.212.243.100.247.802.082.372.512.34 3.592.472.000.237.431.681.551.501.21 3.512.662.800.257.301.932.692.602.53 2.792.781.300.277.173.072.792.803.17 2.602.341.500.297.001.022.001.731.75 2.252.102.500.307.133.043.293.333.44 3.082.312.600.316.931.511.581.801.11 2.982.142.600.336.831.762.051.581.94 3.423.032.900.366.703.864.003.914.08 3.123.331.700.386.531.982.191.742.20 2.292.762.300.376.602.461.671.951.53 2.613.242.700.416.331.711.571.561.82 2.443.412.700.416.500.241.121.370.97 3.013.572.300.426.371.10-0.05-0.14-0.01 3.913.603.300.436.334.244.724.114.83 4.814.003.100.466.202.763.173.002.99 4.754.263.900.496.000.120.210.200.14 4.723.613.300.476.102.742.892.993.19 4.343.563.400.466.131.303.133.083.16 3.463.502.300.456.175.294.284.634.71 2.893.084.100.436.234.656.015.796.22 3.424.103.300.376.70-3.95-3.14-3.30-2.60 3.294.532.400.287.97-1.29-0.40-0.68-0.57 2.643.892.600.248.600.940.690.771.09 3.023.261.900.238.700.931.351.341.44 2.892.532.100.228.572.552.412.492.27 2.972.312.100.238.371.962.572.172.50 3.652.212.100.248.100.000.05-0.18-0.39 4.062.151.800.248.202.871.931.752.00 2.242.081.400.267.903.983.873.923.82 2.512.251.400.277.802.823.883.753.86 1.932.281.800.287.733.803.953.853.83 1.172.472.000.297.401.331.901.841.75 2.742.561.700.297.532.542.412.402.11 1.502.341.700.307.531.871.882.051.86 1.972.732.100.317.430.22-0.26-0.24-0.26 2.622.851.100.317.370.221.191.251.24 1.882.321.600.297.301.641.671.691.50 2.402.450.700.297.131.631.801.871.81 2.252.431.900.287.13-0.65-0.57-0.23-0.69 0.841.991.900.287.201.740.931.011.38 1.072.641.800.277.231.080.941.100.96 1.091.851.600.287.173.122.162.222.72 1.871.501.600.287.172.993.333.013.15 3.272.111.800.297.031.171.090.450.57 3.121.881.600.326.770.530.45-0.050.11 3.372.441.800.316.83-0.42-0.59-0.95-0.77 2.552.621.600.316.872.332.482.402.67 2.052.411.000.287.002.422.842.942.81 2.052.430.900.277.100.731.190.991.25 1.832.461.400.267.270.63-0.09-0.09-0.09 1.692.101.300.267.072.401.311.781.32 2.351.661.500.286.931.140.941.090.84 2.071.771.500.296.871.451.171.551.15 2.041.391.800.326.702.471.801.801.79 2.491.291.500.336.530.210.400.340.59 1.722.071.900.366.231.330.871.081.01 2.321.821.900.396.173.263.843.723.93 2.542.410.900.435.903.232.993.102.67 2.172.761.700.445.901.211.781.491.78 1.592.181.600.445.902.601.011.351.08 2.422.520.900.495.701.090.020.220.03 1.922.311.800.475.801.691.801.681.96 2.052.331.700.485.573.254.153.943.89 3.492.571.700.455.731.571.531.321.22 2.822.421.400.455.701.662.362.462.522.551.11-0.03-0.04-0.15-0.173.272.320.33-0.11-0.010.01-0.891.662.150.430.17-0.010.01-1.091.662.270.21-0.47-0.01-0.01-0.331.662.93-0.042.892.82-0.262.561.89-0.491.402.830.923.75 3.683.041.200.436.530.680.950.690.392.330.00-3.79-0.070.84-0.100.02-0.762.400.00-1.76-0.630.36-0.070.380.682.040.00-1.340.180.36-0.07-0.490.682.770.00-1.70-0.760.260.030.080.682.580.000.030.000.000.031.384.013.000.000.02-0.010.00-0.081.694.632.040.000.010.000.00-0.03-0.821.202.860.000.01-0.010.000.020.963.83 4.004.621.500.1213.37-3.91-3.64-3.83-3.852.58-0.16-3.080.970.86-0.46-2.47-1.773.970.01-7.08-1.080.37-0.110.01-3.911.570.00-6.090.860.36-0.20-0.42-3.912.71-0.04-6.63-0.160.240.07-0.10-3.912.89-0.42-0.030.000.020.02-1.061.427.920.02-0.07-0.040.020.300.258.401.750.01-0.020.010.010.13-0.401.503.80-0.10-0.03-0.060.01-0.07-0.043.50 3.693.841.900.1910.132.843.743.913.652.59-1.351.41-0.412.29-0.570.754.711.190.142.97-0.560.040.38-1.332.841.760.062.82-0.33-0.090.16-1.542.843.62-0.772.52-1.29-0.28-0.07-0.892.842.86-3.34-0.240.020.060.092.812.27-1.310.39-0.51-0.110.051.37-0.46-0.581.730.12-0.200.030.020.64-0.441.905.71-1.85-0.35-0.070.03-0.290.233.41 2.853.381.800.328.873.493.213.293.312.54-1.221.240.180.05-0.550.823.071.96-0.041.95-0.270.130.19-0.433.491.83-0.062.06-0.030.130.22-0.673.493.03-0.441.99-0.15-0.12-0.06-0.763.492.81-1.30-0.220.040.130.101.823.381.47-0.19-0.44-0.150.050.48-0.320.901.98-0.18-0.210.030.020.41-0.251.802.67-0.15-0.51-0.080.01-0.08-1.370.49 3.622.741.500.368.433.374.053.984.082.63-0.133.20-0.200.56-0.62-1.084.372.83-0.942.49-0.290.180.08-0.983.371.66-0.272.96-0.430.190.29-1.033.373.050.302.36-2.090.10-0.06-0.293.372.851.53-0.140.010.200.080.214.735.41-2.70-0.09-0.140.040.14-0.572.102.04-0.530.000.010.010.44-0.481.503.261.620.20-0.19-0.01-0.102.046.81 2.140.881.600.428.073.433.243.583.322.63-0.670.470.314.36-0.551.888.432.39-0.341.270.250.860.18-1.183.431.74-0.341.340.220.840.44-0.813.432.47-0.111.570.620.62-0.02-1.723.432.87-0.63-0.060.030.160.070.863.312.37-0.450.08-0.140.050.55-1.381.082.09-0.540.16-0.010.010.44-0.551.602.86-0.79-0.25-0.130.02-0.04-3.93-2.26 2.451.852.000.587.275.754.364.234.462.64-0.361.640.13-0.16-0.431.635.102.020.031.570.280.710.200.945.751.91-0.501.551.120.630.320.725.752.360.011.48-0.050.310.001.645.752.890.100.120.010.290.052.806.271.820.720.17-0.120.100.290.223.202.15-0.540.25-0.020.030.44-0.332.002.84-0.380.04-0.320.030.002.424.62 2.972.492.000.736.275.956.376.606.662.670.382.770.471.89-0.442.149.892.42-0.372.640.990.780.11-0.625.951.90-0.602.562.070.530.35-0.875.952.61-0.062.681.65-0.12-0.01-0.805.952.910.970.170.030.370.020.645.103.84-0.950.06-0.100.15-0.070.593.522.23-0.590.180.030.060.36-0.282.003.030.440.17-0.130.070.01-1.062.53 3.192.682.100.805.737.497.917.697.962.680.493.990.710.35-0.301.359.272.46-0.343.301.840.950.14-0.857.491.91-0.503.062.840.920.43-1.167.492.530.072.640.930.22-0.021.137.492.931.190.280.030.300.010.305.043.25-0.420.35-0.020.180.00-0.552.782.29-0.520.140.110.070.29-0.292.103.000.52-0.28-0.190.060.044.517.66 4.943.411.700.935.1310.019.618.989.172.700.773.230.800.640.131.709.972.270.233.912.100.630.200.6710.011.99-0.373.503.690.430.520.2610.012.550.293.652.10-0.14-0.061.6310.012.961.140.350.070.41-0.020.845.762.461.360.660.120.21-0.36-0.543.912.35-0.250.180.200.080.07-0.931.703.140.160.39-0.090.030.110.744.48 3.973.742.000.885.134.133.873.513.642.730.82-3.780.990.020.221.442.452.320.38-2.071.931.06-0.340.854.132.05-0.23-2.473.520.980.080.194.132.560.48-1.873.060.300.08-0.494.132.980.710.490.100.34-0.120.154.653.171.170.820.260.23-1.630.414.422.400.020.270.290.08-0.53-0.641.903.090.790.610.030.060.35-4.020.90 3.954.183.600.815.104.094.624.794.692.750.63-1.260.670.700.21-0.413.292.400.37-0.681.800.99-0.18-0.604.092.080.07-1.353.180.83-0.03-0.684.092.570.33-0.463.340.180.07-1.934.093.000.350.440.130.33-0.140.484.593.280.910.650.380.27-0.800.625.312.450.400.200.350.09-0.370.493.603.090.490.880.100.010.14-2.252.46 3.264.622.600.795.002.162.212.772.482.770.67-1.050.410.040.340.563.752.350.80-1.771.610.39-0.08-1.142.162.120.43-2.362.820.17-0.13-0.902.162.530.26-1.872.73-0.370.06-1.192.163.020.540.240.160.28-0.130.674.792.862.190.440.460.31-0.45-1.394.432.490.760.010.370.11-0.49-0.442.803.040.110.530.430.110.160.604.982.162.162.16 4.034.333.000.725.203.262.882.852.692.790.61-1.080.22-0.140.260.022.692.340.66-0.661.52-0.32-0.22-0.063.262.160.67-1.192.02-0.52-0.360.473.262.490.71-1.061.16-0.930.030.863.263.040.530.200.170.31-0.14-0.123.993.001.280.310.520.30-1.02-1.602.792.530.96-0.090.360.10-0.61-0.153.102.991.300.690.520.080.141.767.473.263.263.26 4.924.924.92 2.962.962.96 2.352.362.37 2.752.752.76 3.012.972.94 2.832.762.70 2.792.702.61 2.912.782.65 2.922.742.57 2.872.652.43 12.682.813.002.7210.441.170.660.9211.100.290.400.4110.000.000.000.00 20.160.460.440.362-0.030.420.270.322-0.250.050.120.1021.110.63-0.12-0.05 30.12-0.08-0.11-0.2330.090.450.250.3530.18-0.52-0.28-0.4130.920.51-0.030.03 40.090.050.16-0.1040.090.170.100.024-0.090.120.150.2540.510.100.720.20 50.100.090.13-0.1050.100.11-0.06-0.045-0.450.13-0.03-0.0151.060.390.410.31 60.100.120.13-0.0560.060.210.120.0960.04-0.05-0.04-0.1060.900.280.300.53 70.080.070.10-0.0870.040.190.120.067-0.11-0.05-0.03-0.0170.790.660.540.72 80.090.180.14-0.0780.040.180.050.018-0.070.030.020.0181.000.780.640.82 90.080.170.12-0.0490.030.170.050.0290.030.02-0.02-0.0190.940.710.570.96 100.080.170.11-0.01100.020.190.080.0310-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.01100.970.790.641.12 110.080.140.100.00110.020.170.070.03110.00-0.01-0.010.00111.050.840.731.24 120.080.090.100.01120.020.140.050.03120.010.000.000.00121.050.870.751.35 130.080.080.090.01130.020.130.050.0313-0.010.00-0.010.00131.090.890.771.47 140.070.080.090.02140.020.120.060.03140.010.00-0.010.00141.120.930.821.58 150.070.080.080.02150.020.110.050.03150.000.00-0.010.00151.140.980.861.68 160.070.070.080.02160.020.100.040.02160.000.00-0.010.00161.171.010.881.78