Probability of growth in gross domestic product (GDP) x As of January 2023 25% As of October 2023 30% -4.000000000000.014375190000.014375190000.010571022000.01057102200 -3.900000000000.015338800000.015338800000.011494728000.01149472800 -3.800000000000.016365190000.016365190000.012495231000.01249523100 -3.700000000000.017458300000.017458300000.013578494000.01357849400 -3.600000000000.018622280000.018622280000.014750891000.01475089100 -3.500000000000.019861560000.019861560000.016019238000.01601923800 -3.400000000000.021180790000.021180790000.017390813000.01739081300 -3.300000000000.022584900000.022584900000.018873382000.01887338200 -3.200000000000.024079130000.024079130000.020475225000.02047522500 -3.100000000000.025668980000.025668980000.022205159000.02220515900 -3.000000000000.027360290000.027360290000.024072568000.02407256800 -2.900000000000.029159210000.029159210000.026087423000.02608742300 -2.800000000000.031072250000.031072250000.028260312000.02826031200 -2.700000000000.033106280000.033106280000.030602461000.03060246100 -2.600000000000.035268520000.035268520000.033125762000.03312576200 -2.500000000000.037566610000.037566610000.035842790000.03584279000 -2.400000000000.040008590000.040008590000.038766827000.03876682700 -2.300000000000.042602920000.042602920000.041911880000.04191188000 -2.200000000000.045358520000.045358520000.045292695000.04529269500 -2.100000000000.048284760000.048284760000.048924769000.04892476900 -2.000000000000.051391480000.051391480000.052824355000.05282435500 -1.900000000000.054689020000.054689020000.057008467000.05700846700 -1.800000000000.058188240000.058188240000.061494869000.06149486900 -1.700000000000.061900510000.061900510000.066302065000.06630206500 -1.600000000000.065837750000.065837750000.071449273000.07144927300 -1.500000000000.070012400000.070012400000.076956390000.07695639000 -1.400000000000.074437510000.074437510000.082843940000.08284394000 -1.300000000000.079126640000.079126640000.089133009000.08913300900 -1.200000000000.084093970000.084093970000.095845161000.09584516100 -1.100000000000.089354230000.089354230000.103002323000.10300232300 -1.000000000000.094922700000.094922700000.110626647000.11062664700 -0.900000000000.100815260000.100815260000.118740344000.11874034400 -0.800000000000.107048270000.107048270000.127365467000.12736546700 -0.700000000000.113638660000.113638660000.136523649000.13652364900 -0.600000000000.120603770000.120603770000.146235790000.14623579000 -0.500000000000.127961410000.127961410000.156521661000.15652166100 -0.400000000000.135729690000.135729690000.167399430000.16739943000 -0.300000000000.143926990000.143926990000.178885067000.17888506700 -0.200000000000.152571830000.152571830000.190991619000.19099161900 -0.100000000000.161682670000.161682670000.203728303000.20372830300 0.000000000000.171277750000.171277750000.217099353000.21709935300 0.100000000000.181374800000.23110256400 0.200000000000.191990690000.24572737000 0.300000000000.203140990000.26095229700 0.400000000000.214839300000.27674143700 0.500000000000.227096490000.29303937700 0.600000000000.239919440000.30976349900 0.700000000000.253309410000.32679138500 0.800000000000.267259460000.34393799100 0.900000000000.281750380000.36090742800 1.000000000000.296743760000.37716116000 1.100000000000.312168610000.39124029900 1.200000000000.327891240000.37194707000 1.300000000000.343623320000.34097785600 1.400000000000.357984560000.30948200800 1.500000000000.330700900000.27898538800 1.600000000000.302441940000.25016638700 1.700000000000.275409180000.22334673400 1.800000000000.250062790000.19865772200 1.900000000000.226543760000.17611819500 2.000000000000.204864960000.15567785000 2.100000000000.184976790000.13724374600 2.200000000000.166797080000.12069753000 2.300000000000.150226910000.10590702500 2.400000000000.135159720000.09273415700 2.500000000000.121486850000.08104039200 2.600000000000.109100920000.07069045100 2.700000000000.097898020000.06155477000 2.800000000000.087778990000.05351106800 2.900000000000.078650220000.04644526300 3.000000000000.070424000000.04025191100 3.100000000000.063018680000.03483430700 3.200000000000.056358630000.03010434500 3.300000000000.050374060000.02598220500 3.400000000000.045000860000.02239593100 3.500000000000.040180240000.01928094700 3.600000000000.035858470000.01657952200 3.700000000000.031986550000.01424022900 3.800000000000.028519860000.01221740600 3.900000000000.025417870000.01047063100 4.000000000000.022643820000.00896421200 4.100000000000.020164390000.00766672300 4.200000000000.017949470000.00655055100 4.300000000000.015971820000.00559149100 4.400000000000.014206890000.00476836900 4.500000000000.012632520000.00406270000 4.600000000000.011228760000.00345837200 4.700000000000.009977660000.00294137200 4.800000000000.008863080000.00249952800 4.900000000000.007870530000.00212228700 5.000000000000.006986980000.00180051200 5.100000000000.006200760000.00152630500 5.200000000000.005501400000.00129284600 5.300000000000.004879530000.00109425700 5.400000000000.004326750000.00092547700 5.500000000000.003835540000.00078215300 5.600000000000.003399200000.00066054600 5.700000000000.003011710000.00055745100 5.800000000000.002667720000.00047011800 5.900000000000.002362420000.00039619500 6.000000000000.002091550000.00033367100